Wednesday, September 21, 2005

Scientists warned us in 2001

The number of major hurricanes has more than doubled in the last six years. The increase is part of a long-term climate shift that is likely to persist for several decades, said Chris Landsea, a meteorological researcher with the U.S. National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA) Hurricane Research Division and co-author of a study on the findings in the July 20 issue of the journal Science.

"We've seen a big increase in the number of hurricanes since 1995, and in the next 30 years we're going to see a lot more," he said. "It's part of a natural cycle, and it's going to be a real eye-opening for the people living on the coasts who have never seen a hurricane before."

During the 20th century, a period of high hurricane activity occurred from the 1920s through the 1960s, followed by reduced activity from 1971 to 1994.

Given this information, what to do? Keep rebuilding in areas that are destined to just be destroyed again?

Take a look at this Map, it is of the hurricanes that have hit North America since 1950.

12 comments:

Hooda Thunkit (Dave Zawodny) said...

"It's part of a natural cycle..." -Chris Landsea

EXACTLY...

So, based on the fact that there are natural cycles I can expect to see a return of the killer winters of my youth.

I definitely have mixed feelings about that...

Unknown said...

Maybe HT, but it seems the weather cycles up here are leaning towards a warmer winter.

I haven't read any predictions that we would have colder winters but it could come after this cycle.

Anonymous said...

I read a study that stated that for the last 50 years we have had fewer average cat 4 adn 5 hurricanes per decade than the decades from 1910-1960. I will have to look up that source. Just something to discuss.

Cyberseaer said...

A hell of a time for the experts to say "Told ya so."

Unknown said...

That pretty much confirms what others have said too OG, though some are stating the hurricanes we've had are stronger. Part of that is due to the warmer water part of that is also due to better technology. Alot of the earlier storms they didn't have the ability to measure them the way we do now.

Either way? Looks like the next few years is going to be rough as far as hurricanes. After looking at the maps it's pretty easy to see where they typically hit.

Scott G said...

I say we build in channels and make them all cities where we get around on water. Like the river walk in San Antonio. Water taxis and such

historymike said...

Yes, climate changes are cyclical.

The bigger issue is the politicization of climatology; some on the right want to ignore human effects on biospheres, while the radical left predicts Armageddon every time the thermometer crosses 90 degrees.

Unknown said...

I watched on the news tonight Mr. Sage who is known as one of the major hurricane experts. He of course basically said I told you so, since they have been warning about this cycle of more storms coming. He downplayed global warming, but I do believe it has a part in all of this. May not be the primary cause but could very well be adding to what is making the storms more severe. We still have a lot to learn and as time and technology improves? Maybe we will have some more answers.

Hooda Thunkit (Dave Zawodny) said...

Lisa,
Global warming plays a part, albeit a small one.

A group of scientists recently reported that the sun's output had increased, possibly causing the quakes on Mars.

I'm going to go out on a limb here and connect some of the increased hurricane activity to the sun’s increased output too.

The Sun also goes through an 11-year sunspot cycle of its' own.

Everything in Nature goes through cycles, whether we are aware of it or not...

Aaron said...

That map is cool! I guess they picked a good spot for the capitol. The Carolinas seem to keep Delaware, Maryland, and Virgina shielded prety well.

Unknown said...

By luck too since they didn't track storms back then.

:-)

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